“A lot of smart money has come in on particular Senate favorite that isn't offering any value. Senate races and betting on the results of each individual state has also gained popularity this year. 3 so perhaps much of the turnout is already being accounted for.” It will be interesting to see how it all shakes out, but because of the COVID situation we may not see the droves of people voting on Nov. “With the early turnout numbers making headlines every day over the last week, bettors have been hammering the over in both voter turnout props. Needless to say, the books took a bath on that election outcome.” We saw this same scenario playing out in 2016 when all the polls and models had Clinton around the 70% projection to be elected, but all the bets were coming in on the underdog Trump.
“One key angle is that over the last 72 hours we've taken a ton of money on Trump. Things are looking eerily familiar to the last election cycle. Talking with Mason, one thing became quickly evident.